Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30686488cd18addfc5b92d9583813b4eaacd4cd8fe83478fa2683443c4b5a587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof Switzerland, Australia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Australia | 67c | 1,944$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Australia | 68c | 1,708$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.34 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Switzerland | 33c | 1,642$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Australia | 68c | 1,301$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.72 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Switzerland | 32c | 1,286$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Switzerland | 33c | 744.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…cd9bbacked Australia | 59c | 703$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Switzerland | 37c | 547.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…809dbacked Switzerland | 35c | 431.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Switzerland | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Australia | 65c | 335.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Australia | 70c | 320.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Switzerland | 33c | 300.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Switzerland | 35c | 281.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Switzerland | 32c | 280.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Australia | 70c | 271$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Switzerland | 43c | 240.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Switzerland | 35c | 201$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Switzerland | 34c | 188.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Australia | 66c | 186.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Switzerland | 33c | 182.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Australia | 66c | 175.93$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Australia | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Australia | 67c | 110.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Switzerland | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Switzerland | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Australia | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…bfacbacked Switzerland | 34c | 59.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Switzerland | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Australia | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Switzerland | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 395 | 51.1%202 W · 193 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Switzerland | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Australia | 67c | 43.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a13…0c33backed Switzerland | 39c | 42.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Switzerland | 33c | 38.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Switzerland | 33c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Australia | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Australia | 49c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Australia | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Switzerland | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Australia | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Australia | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Australia | 61c | 27.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Australia | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Australia | 69c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Australia | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Australia | 68c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)this page
- Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Australia (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Australia (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Australia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.