South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3de15e2362e8e1f5640594962b556476c456ee83edf0132993b0fd436ec524a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 10,848$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.83 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 2,945$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.65 | 1,502 | 45.9%690 W · 812 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 51c | 2,566$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.56 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,366$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.23 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,948$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.62 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 1,608$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.61 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 47c | 1,189$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.05 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 40c | 1,156$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.13 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 32c | 1,105$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…783cbacked Under | 59c | 1,060$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 1,038$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.27 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 47c | 991.28$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.38 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 967.83$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.54 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed Over | 7c | 960.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 876.07$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.95 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 768.44$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.17 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 55c | 744.28$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Over | 35c | 723.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 671.53$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 650$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 50c | 601$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.5 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 577.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 1,257 | 53.6%674 W · 583 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 563$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 431 | 62.2%268 W · 163 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 52c | 559.69$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.58 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 63c | 463.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 438$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 34c | 418.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.4 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 47c | 399.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.18 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 38c | 352.58$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 58c | 339.52$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 318$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 595 | 39.7%236 W · 359 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 263.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 782 | 51%399 W · 383 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 221$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 220.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 813 | 56.5%459 W · 354 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 49c | 219.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 182 | 51.1%93 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 176.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 2,175 | 43.6%948 W · 1,227 L | -56.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 43c | 163.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 163.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 37c | 134$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 128$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 63c | 117$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 359 | 46.5%167 W · 192 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889a…0456backed Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 97.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Over | 38c | 83.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 77.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 39c | 77.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 49.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 727 | 50.5%367 W · 360 L | -25.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 926 | 46.3%429 W · 497 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 53c | 45.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 55c | 42.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 39.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,271 | 56%712 W · 559 L | +71.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 53c | 37.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 53c | 35.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4979…a668backed Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Over | 50c | 30.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 29.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,484 | 37.3%554 W · 930 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 54c | 22.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Over | 75c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.