South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02965f51ea63371a1084e539f9d9c0aa2ef0a1148b5334ca423577ba9620e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 27c | 4,052$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.73 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 3,300$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 3,116$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.53 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 28c | 2,581$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.42 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 37c | 2,534$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.53 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 2,287$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 78c | 1,506$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 39c | 993.7$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.45 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 985.22$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.21 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 16c | 830$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.2 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 13c | 754.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 61c | 739$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 654.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 60c | 418.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Over | 57c | 418.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 59c | 342.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked Over | 71c | 341.63$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 66c | 326$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 42c | 298.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 60c | 235$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 211.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Under | 40c | 177$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 62c | 165.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 157$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 42c | 142.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 12c | 130$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 119.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 74c | 105.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 43c | 104.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 60c | 103.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 80c | 88.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 47c | 71.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 58c | 62.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 58c | 61.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 58.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 41c | 44.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 34c | 40.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 65c | 22.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 48c | 21.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e018backed Under | 78c | 20.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Under | 74c | 19.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 62c | 16.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5this page
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: EC Vitória (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)EC Vitória won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.