Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb65e949ca82e5bdeb163fbbf7d5c54ec7f7d35530059e22ad241062e9f677b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 15,395$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,069.09 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,394$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.62 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 67c | 3,719$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.91 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 3,616$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.97 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 65c | 1,956$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.4 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 1,685$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.76 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 37c | 1,361$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.98 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 67c | 1,145$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.41 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 67c | 1,010$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 66c | 978.06$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 954.53$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.54 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 66c | 902.31$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 780.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.07 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 740.78$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.79 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 549.17$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 480.94$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 33c | 300.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 71c | 297.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 31c | 233.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 230.81$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 69c | 230.58$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 224.89$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 58c | 192.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 189.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 67c | 189.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 42c | 182.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 67c | 181.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 173.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 169.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 149.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 67c | 124.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 67c | 118.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 32c | 107.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 104.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 93.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 65c | 84.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 79.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 72.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 38c | 67.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 67c | 67.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 65c | 57.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 79c | 50.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 67c | 48.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 45.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 62c | 39.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…ccf1backed Under | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 66c | 35.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 31c | 32.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 66c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…85d2backed Under | 66c | 25.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 56c | 25.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 67c | 23.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Under | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 67c | 20.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d0…2e99backed Under | 68c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…6d67backed Over | 65c | 17.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 66c | 15.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Under | 67c | 15.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Under | 67c | 15.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.