Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18382cc5a24129a9e07126351f1732c41a516a4d5c5945d06b127fa3b77fa0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 45c | 51,346$23,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,105.81 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 15,419$8,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875.99 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 55c | 9,879$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.37 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 9,333$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.85 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 7,649$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.07 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 55c | 7,363$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 55c | 5,818$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.18 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 55c | 4,712$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 3,868$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.93 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,659$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.86 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 55c | 1,157$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.65 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 1,098$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 883.24$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.23 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 55c | 871.36$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 546.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.58 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 506.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 477.57$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 446.92$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 45c | 273.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 271$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 271$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 257$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 46c | 218.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 212.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 55c | 191$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 185.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 70c | 165.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 47c | 165.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 164.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 162.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 47c | 106.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 106.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 54c | 105.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 54c | 100.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 56c | 91.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 86.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 54c | 69.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 55c | 69.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 55c | 60.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 50c | 46.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 44.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 55c | 44.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 59c | 42.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 76c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9d53backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Over | 54c | 24.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…faedbacked Under | 49c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 56c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.