Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce7b4b10c8b3f3dd50bf32132908a5468a0ad924d591f9d253d52f6adc2342f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 18c | 8,425$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,910.95 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 7,826$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.85 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 6,123$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 4,064$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.44 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 2,313$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.29 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 49c | 2,114$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.07 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 1,380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 66c | 799.98$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 752.59$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.41 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 18c | 598.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 529$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 455.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 55c | 454.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 51c | 394.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 17c | 299.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.92 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 297.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 13c | 219.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 62c | 198.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 51c | 198.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 176.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 77c | 176.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 49c | 174.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 52c | 149.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 79c | 143.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 20c | 142.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Under | 23c | 86.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 56c | 81.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 81.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Over | 64c | 79.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 64c | 68.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…7450backed Under | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 53.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 20c | 52.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 48c | 47.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 77c | 36.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 62c | 31.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 33c | 30.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 68c | 30.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…85d2backed Under | 54c | 25.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 64c | 25.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 51c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Under | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.