Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5911a77b90fce14cfc3f69cccf5830b364fda1977c7637da3eeb290da14c4552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 8,084$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.36 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 4,456$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.56 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 2,461$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.26 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 62c | 737.84$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 621.47$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 371$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 349.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 332.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked No | 41c | 324.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 255.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 40c | 248.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 41c | 238.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 60c | 224$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 41c | 183.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 60c | 167.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 165.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 160.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 42c | 116.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 61c | 91.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 58c | 85.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 64c | 77.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 60c | 77.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 35c | 69.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 37c | 66.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 41c | 64.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 36c | 64.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 57.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 59c | 56.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 80c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 41c | 44.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 41c | 34.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 32.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 27.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 66c | 27.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 58c | 27.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 42c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 75c | 25.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 24.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.