Mls · resolved market
Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeea2e17de2b76b1763d774fbc125d6ce1de8959a88998fd82bf47f3cd4e19164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles FCof Nashville SC, Los Angeles FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Nashville SC | 23c | 1,210$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles FC | 75c | 305.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Los Angeles FC | 76c | 262.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Nashville SC | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nashville SC | 13c | 160.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nashville SC | 21c | 144.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Los Angeles FC | 70c | 143.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nashville SC | 16c | 137$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Los Angeles FC | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Nashville SC | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Los Angeles FC | 76c | 126.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Los Angeles FC | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Nashville SC | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nashville SC | 19c | 91.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…3df3backed Los Angeles FC | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Nashville SC | 28c | 83.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 74.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles FC | 78c | 66.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Nashville SC | 22c | 60.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nashville SC | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles FC | 72c | 59.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Nashville SC | 24c | 56.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Nashville SC | 42c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Los Angeles FC | 75c | 30.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nashville SC | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Los Angeles FC | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles FC | 73c | 24.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles FC | 79c | 23.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Los Angeles FC | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)this page
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.