TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf83…3385backed Over44c8,209$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,628.8931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c4,406$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.0859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over54c2,058$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.2416050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c1,925$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c1,855$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.932,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under55c1,787$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.645143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over48c1,626$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under46c1,422$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over39c1,321$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.061656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261c…6b12backed Under57c1,147$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under55c866.06$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1876551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over45c813.3$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3225865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c788.05$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c779.29$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under54c769.23$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.330642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Under56c714.55$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.075154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over43c640$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c638.36$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.644,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c541.74$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under61c540$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.42,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Over44c536.66$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.1529030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c516.01$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over62c480.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c426.36$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over47c423.4$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over37c421.77$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.19740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c419.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3821747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under53c412.84$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under55c410$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.517255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over45c400$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c389.6$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6935658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c384.86$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.071,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under62c379$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.511238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under25c354.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0684738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over46c348.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9126155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c346.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6355153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under26c339.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over46c323.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under52c300$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15760752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Under55c299.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9915742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304450%22 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c243.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c241.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.391,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under55c240$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13223732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c235.31$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.431,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c225.15$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.752,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c216.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.511,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13828164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over44c180.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.117647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under60c173$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.811135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under55c160.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3816758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under55c153.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c142.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6212146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under57c138$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6611520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5551250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over74c125.38$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.623857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Over15c118.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.388817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under55c118.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.532,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Under56c110.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2815845.6%72 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over37c108.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3211027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over47c106.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3213253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over44c105.82$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2610050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over44c103.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6822656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over54c98.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.192642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over45c90.53$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7922041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Over56c88.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5814550.3%73 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under51c82.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.359456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked Under47c80.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under61c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.821251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over44c74.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6720330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over50c72.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.437245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under52c71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.928651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under55c67.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7590840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over46c67.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0228240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under62c64.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1220047%94 W · 106 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under53c64.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8822951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7244…393dbacked Under47c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over49c57.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1432740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c54.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0282340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under55c53.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under55c53.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.189443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c51.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7183153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Over44c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.996250%31 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c49.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.321,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over45c44.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.645540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over38c40.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9619356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.222052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1115059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Under51c38.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under52c38.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under51c38.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4324840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed Over54c37.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0431747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.