Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc65694ef0de57fe7a02620169d7e0cad106d8e832c79efd3f37ab858a9781e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 37c | 3,727$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 3,543$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed No | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,238$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 1,064$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 36c | 1,060$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 935.37$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 14c | 349.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 36c | 326$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 31c | 299.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 36c | 272.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 189.62$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 63c | 168.42$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed No | 62c | 137.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 37c | 136.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 66c | 132.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 118.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 100.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 37c | 81.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 65c | 58.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 53.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 64c | 49.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 45.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 29.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…9aa9backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 73c | 24.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 63c | 21.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 65c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…fa8fbacked No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nicaragua (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Paraguay won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.