TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7244…393d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.74
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$24.25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.32
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+231.5%+$44.35
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$91.7
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$73.01
Set 2 Winner: Wawrinka vs Burruchagabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143%+$21.46
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.29
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$12.43
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)backed Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.82
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.72
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$44.49
Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA River Plate vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.65
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.