CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x453fdfb0dcaa7e1795bb436198b53e6f03c63c30cf0ae6e445fc948a8187fa61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 3,837$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.03 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 53c | 3,708$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.61 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 2,548$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.14 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 51c | 2,387$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.04 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 46c | 2,142$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.64 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 1,810$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.76 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 56c | 1,118$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 38c | 976.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.98 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 47c | 888$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.36 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 849.17$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.11 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 63c | 673.91$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Under | 58c | 670.69$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Under | 53c | 469.81$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 46c | 438$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Under | 63c | 353.97$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Under | 60c | 352.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…03c4backed Over | 62c | 346.94$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 66c | 226.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 652 | 50.5%329 W · 323 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 25c | 217$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd731…64a6backed Over | 52c | 185.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Under | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 61c | 164.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 63c | 113.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 38c | 113.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 95.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…393dbacked Under | 74c | 92.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked Over | 37c | 81.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 23c | 76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 43c | 59.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Under | 61c | 57.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0546backed Under | 64c | 48.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Under | 49c | 41.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 41c | 36.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 60c | 30.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 845 | 54.4%460 W · 385 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…555bbacked Over | 72c | 26.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 43c | 23.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 671 | 47.1%316 W · 355 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f59abacked Under | 58c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.