TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lynn Vision42c3,173$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.672,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed PARIVISION57c2,361$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.721,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked PARIVISION49c1,992$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.515536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Lynn Vision47c1,026$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed PARIVISION60c913.46$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3856938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Lynn Vision53c536.61$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.171,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Lynn Vision44c485.32$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.691,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Lynn Vision59c423.18$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6822266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Lynn Vision61c399.98$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9939454.3%214 W · 180 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Lynn Vision46c299.13$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9622938.4%88 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed PARIVISION41c234.17$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3616650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…1456backed PARIVISION47c214.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.18825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Lynn Vision62c200.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12533354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed Lynn Vision61c199.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.989268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked PARIVISION41c199.93$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9649245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f20…70d9backed PARIVISION53c188.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.72737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Lynn Vision56c149$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4450947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Lynn Vision55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.562938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked PARIVISION40c124.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2620145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Lynn Vision10c121.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.192540%10 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+215.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Lynn Vision58c109.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6426564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked PARIVISION39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6125143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION59c86.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.397,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Lynn Vision59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lynn Vision58c81.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6018…f21bbacked PARIVISION43c79.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.386446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed PARIVISION38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.427735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed Lynn Vision44c55.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.473737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed PARIVISION65c54.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.242356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lynn Vision35c54.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2434036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed PARIVISION42c47.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6929757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed PARIVISION58c46.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a31…388cbacked Lynn Vision59c46.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.231618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick46cpaid-58.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xacd1…b918backed Lynn Vision64c45.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed PARIVISION74c40.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6710040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Lynn Vision62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.838754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786c…dd20backed PARIVISION41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5921942.5%93 W · 126 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3127…6f1bbacked PARIVISION39c33.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed PARIVISION51c33.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.497265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Lynn Vision60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed PARIVISION36c29.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.171,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b014backed PARIVISION41c29.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.572475%18 W · 6 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+49.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lynn Vision50c24.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2668147%320 W · 361 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked PARIVISION60c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.662962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Lynn Vision63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512555.2%69 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Lynn Vision50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070242.2%296 W · 406 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked PARIVISION55c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Lynn Vision57c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110052%52 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.