TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Ignacio Buse

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tabiloof Tabilo, Buse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked Buse49c26,416$12,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,94027460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Buse42c9,411$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.5838133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Tabilo78c7,688$6,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.8427063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tabilo49c7,421$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,785.912,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tabilo60c5,833$3,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.418,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Buse40c5,060$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.8976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Tabilo59c4,828$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tabilo48c4,714$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.212,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Tabilo61c4,080$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.1636968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Tabilo60c3,669$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.426344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Tabilo59c2,479$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.991,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Tabilo59c2,400$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98923945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Buse20c2,306$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.671,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Buse23c1,993$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.459452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Buse42c1,988$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.25860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Buse45c1,832$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81942743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Tabilo60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6752460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Buse53c1,540$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.568350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Buse18c1,438$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Tabilo71c1,370$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x390c…4795backed Buse39c1,354$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Tabilo59c1,347$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.4446553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tabilo55c1,298$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.8976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Buse19c1,215$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8111123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Tabilo59c1,181$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.791,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Buse42c1,173$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.781,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Buse21c1,163$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Tabilo60c1,157$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Buse16c1,077$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Buse40c1,074$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.427,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Buse26c1,020$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.032,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Buse43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buse38c940.43$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Tabilo68c841.18$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1826158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Buse51c807.57$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Tabilo58c795.03$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.9131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Tabilo68c765.05$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.0416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tabilo57c740.62$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.671,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Tabilo73c690$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4813647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tabilo57c684.66$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.041,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Buse39c681.04$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.923,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buse43c674$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8231332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Tabilo58c657.88$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3124060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Buse44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Buse15c547.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.352,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f31…22d5backed Buse48c526.4$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.432378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Tabilo44c513$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Buse40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Tabilo57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21512861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Buse20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…06e9backed Tabilo57c499.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2143759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Buse42c489.91$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2837339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Buse38c451.64$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.252,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tabilo52c425$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.951,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Tabilo51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19613560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3e…bb7abacked Tabilo59c337.45$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.692860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Buse36c326.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Buse40c318.33$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Buse32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.522039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Tabilo57c277.19$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1935268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Buse30c276.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.814,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x871b…b344backed Tabilo59c274.33$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Buse19c256.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.727836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tabilo59c255$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Tabilo59c247.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.456762.7%42 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Buse21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Buse44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Buse41c215.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2375262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Tabilo58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.94658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Tabilo80c200.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.514947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Tabilo58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8428747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Tabilo60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f54…79d2backed Buse15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72321.7%5 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-60.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Tabilo53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tabilo58c188.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad8b…aa8dbacked Tabilo57c185.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.92176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Tabilo73c181$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1d…f24fbacked Buse42c180.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Buse15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…f11bbacked Tabilo57c175.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.189663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tabilo58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4173350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9069…9c14backed Tabilo59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4918454.3%100 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Tabilo74c165$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5953644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Buse24c164.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Tabilo59c155.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Tabilo59c140.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Tabilo53c133.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3254348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Tabilo79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Tabilo59c123.73$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.733775.7%28 W · 9 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5e02…1da8backed Tabilo59c122.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.951384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Tabilo42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0567239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Buse43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Tabilo51c114.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.643058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f8…8cadbacked Buse44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Tabilo59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1712057.5%69 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Buse43c106.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Buse42c104.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.511,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Buse15c102.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Buse40c100.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.243,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Buse42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4234154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.