TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,949 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c44,717$20,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,736.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c14,836$7,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,566.546139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Over52c12,848$6,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,680.779746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c9,346$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under35c7,488$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,898.3459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c6,448$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over66c5,999$3,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.341040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over51c5,825$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.2920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c5,729$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.5788635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over31c5,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.832245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c4,880$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.3376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over64c4,273$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e71…52d1backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under47c3,331$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.114151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over47c3,121$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4804645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c3,051$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.732,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over1c2,970$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.598644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under35c2,700$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.958116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over64c2,368$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.479254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over64c2,223$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.1219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…5c16backed Over63c2,222$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over35c2,187$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.461540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over62c2,176$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.1228456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over54c2,107$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under35c2,098$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.5241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over67c1,621$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.092347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over60c1,575$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.9414463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under66c1,516$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.355954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under62c1,508$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.151752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over8c1,439$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.642343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under58c1,395$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.7124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under34c1,394$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.7511437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under35c1,392$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.5155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over9c1,385$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.559641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x181b…4941backed Over51c1,378$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over64c1,369$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.877361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x479b…cdb1backed Over40c1,300$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c1,252$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.151,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under36c1,236$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.3140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over57c1,202$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c1,172$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7523632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under53c1,092$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.161070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5395…687abacked Over65c1,042$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under38c1,041$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.411241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under35c1,030$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.492948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Over66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…df94backed Under35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over62c999.99$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6222133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over51c970$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.5810634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f01…099cbacked Under35c915.49$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over22c899.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over65c882.66$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over33c827.02$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over60c800$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4832171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c774.29$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1211753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over66c747.8$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over67c745$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.152759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c744.75$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.641,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.75940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over52c699.58$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.825754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Over65c651.92$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.75650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over64c629.91$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.149953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c609.78$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under36c587.97$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.716160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over62c578.46$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6517339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5610850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Under36c555$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over49c552$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.482532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over64c547$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.614847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under33c534.53$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.146058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Over53c500$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2673250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over56c486.98$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.013043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under35c484.31$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.815255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…8a0cbacked Over64c474.64$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over38c420$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.610221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Over63c412.7$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under36c410.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.553661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under80c398.66$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.737463.5%47 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1198…efe1backed Over64c356.22$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c347.48$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.918851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over64c342.75$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.361040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Over59c333.9$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Under35c328.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.571650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under35c327.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over62c323.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007233.3%24 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72b…0247backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over37c308.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.