Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3566692f80b56716403a4152e7c422b20c6e5ca8859d3ce1b3637d6ab48d74f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 13c | 17,211$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Over | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 9,429$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.77 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 13c | 7,656$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.65 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 13c | 6,110$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.23 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 4,732$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.94 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…35e5backed Over | 13c | 2,222$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 11c | 1,830$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 182 | 38.5%70 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 9c | 1,824$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 1,419$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…7e8bbacked Over | 13c | 726.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 5c | 687$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 13c | 523.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 12c | 380$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 11c | 336.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 4c | 317.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 12c | 289.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Over | 14c | 278.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 13c | 267.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 12c | 249.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 12c | 245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…77b5backed Over | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 13c | 226$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 12c | 209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Over | 13c | 206.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 195.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 11c | 170.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 13c | 160.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 13c | 149.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 11c | 139.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 12c | 104.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 13c | 102.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 13c | 94.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 14c | 79.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.