Premier League · resolved market
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80fe95f74c15591680e72209e44d75d1fbf19ec0a4793c070c2e96f6b412015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 122,694$22,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,511.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 14c | 10,786$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 31c | 8,849$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Over | 50c | 7,453$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 16c | 7,362$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.69 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 7,094$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 6,930$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.41 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 19c | 4,737$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Under | 38c | 3,893$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 14c | 3,769$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.63 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 3,734$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.5 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 1c | 3,504$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 15c | 2,539$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.33 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Over | 20c | 2,277$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.14 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 55c | 2,260$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 16c | 2,143$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 2,042$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.37 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 29c | 1,970$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.59 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Over | 57c | 1,900$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 37c | 1,778$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 79c | 1,590$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.74 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Over | 78c | 1,532$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…5f9fbacked Over | 72c | 1,388$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 24c | 1,263$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 19c | 1,230$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under | 66c | 1,164$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 16c | 1,120$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 21c | 1,092$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 16c | 994.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 16c | 904.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 15c | 819.64$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 73c | 813.72$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 62c | 800.16$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…4b96backed Under | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…68a0backed Under | 26c | 754.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Over | 32c | 742.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 73c | 707.82$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 666.3$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 35c | 612.72$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 24c | 605.05$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 76c | 603.71$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 29c | 603.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 577.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 34c | 572.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 40c | 566.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 53c | 560.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 15c | 555$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751c…fc37backed Over | 26c | 515.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 502.28$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.85 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 29c | 458.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.74 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 73c | 455.94$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 18c | 429.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 65c | 422.49$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.09 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 34c | 400$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 17c | 399$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 64c | 390.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 16c | 390.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed Under | 36c | 388.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 28c | 351.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 56c | 319$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…af22backed Under | 60c | 309.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 78c | 305.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Under | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Over | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…4fdabacked Over | 76c | 293.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 11c | 288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 35c | 281.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…03b0backed Over | 67c | 273.07$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 72c | 272.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b06bbacked Over | 75c | 263.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 18c | 260.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 7c | 237.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 6c | 221.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Under | 55c | 213.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 22c | 208.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 29c | 206.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Under | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Under | 38c | 196.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 16c | 194.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Under | 14c | 188.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 69c | 186.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 72c | 174.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.