TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,367 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under41c10,938$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.688351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under17c6,282$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04212020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c5,983$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.793,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,972$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.7720054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over75c5,387$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.673865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under25c4,963$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.3383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under24c4,435$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.8757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over77c4,350$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.56468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over68c3,897$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.2117731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under35c2,755$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.663240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over67c2,151$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.623354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under23c1,769$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.783138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under14c1,723$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.582,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c1,263$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.891,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under16c1,225$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.014454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over58c1,217$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.9922357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under24c1,206$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.551,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under16c1,190$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.564852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c1,177$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.722416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Under38c1,138$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.511546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under14c1,103$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over53c1,069$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e07…0e51backed Under14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over69c867.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.383164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.675957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under15c781.86$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.113347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under37c667.26$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Under16c610$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under19c529.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2733544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under20c483.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0410843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755829.3%17 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over67c367.16$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.163444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Under36c365$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under13c356$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.74419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over59c349.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1918656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under25c312$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over67c305.94$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.94454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018d…4fdabacked Over76c299.79$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under15c291$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.68230%0 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over64c279.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.85149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under36c279.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under15c260.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over66c245.45$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.457553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over58c199.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.991442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Under15c187.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over70c181.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.541968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Under25c180.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over54c162.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under11c160$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.68510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Over74c160$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed Under32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Over71c141.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.233243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe430…b09fbacked Under36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under49c128.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a09…4a73backed Over76c126.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeef…1d2ebacked Under40c122.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4243…47a8backed Under48c119.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under15c117$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5520241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under18c110.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa388…511fbacked Over80c109.74$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7244…393dbacked Under24c107.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over73c104.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5737348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Over76c89.47$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.471376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Under50c81.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under16c75.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.095052%26 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf5…e0d5backed Under48c73.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8aa…20f6backed Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe490…e591backed Over79c63.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…2a5ebacked Under26c54.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99110%0 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over54c47.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.046048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over80c47.24$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over68c41.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2312964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b0…2910backed Over74c33.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over77c33.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Over80c33.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+62.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Over68c31.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.165375.5%40 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a1…5782backed Over71c15.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over77c14.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.