TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaf5…e0d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT5642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Taburbacked Felix Balshaw · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.57
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguezbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.46
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61%+$25
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.82
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Patrick Zahraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumichbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.95
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Stefano Travagliabacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.26
Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Centurion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Millen Hurrionbacked Millen Hurrion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.23
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$29.91
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.2
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Geneva Open (Doubles): Kirkov/Stevens vs Frantzen/Haasebacked Kirkov/Stevens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.98
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.76
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.75
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$25.25
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.11
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Valenciabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.63
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$13.81
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.22
Bilbao Basket vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. Norwaybacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$18.71
World Championships: USA vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$33.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.