MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb84aa0d9da9eaa6b4b9ba030e13dbc88d0a4d4b31d6cbd94bce7fa87b2aefb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 8c | 935.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 12c | 866.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed SSG Landers | 32c | 697.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked SSG Landers | 41c | 603.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 20c | 589.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed SSG Landers | 40c | 481.05$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…89abbacked LG Twins | 60c | 470.78$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 59c | 365.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 60c | 352.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 59c | 347.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 18c | 337.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed LG Twins | 61c | 302.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 24c | 264.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SSG Landers | 28c | 248.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 242.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LG Twins | 66c | 236.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 59c | 224.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked SSG Landers | 13c | 193.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked SSG Landers | 15c | 162.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 43c | 152.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 71c | 123.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 40c | 104.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 60c | 103.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 64c | 102.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 40c | 100.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed LG Twins | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed LG Twins | 67c | 71.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 52c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 21c | 66.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed LG Twins | 59c | 48.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 58c | 47.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked LG Twins | 50c | 45.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed LG Twins | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked LG Twins | 58c | 40.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…8c6ebacked SSG Landers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…b7c9backed SSG Landers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed SSG Landers | 52c | 24.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.