La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d3f02b13730fb9cf4b95ab985e434ef89da6405d016e5de8e58aecab2eab86f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 4c | 4,470$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.98 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 26c | 1,325$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.38 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…f164backed No | 75c | 547.1$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…7f23backed Yes | 25c | 547.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 240.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 181.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…3f5bbacked Yes | 26c | 136.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…d151backed No | 74c | 136.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 105.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 16c | 101.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 99.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 92.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 77c | 62.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 75c | 57.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 75c | 55.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 53.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 75c | 53.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 24c | 50.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 25c | 48.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed No | 77c | 41.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 75c | 39.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 74c | 33.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 74c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 76c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +245.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 77c | 13.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 77c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.