La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8b9896c874ccbeb71d753779f5ae69d22dd014d52a5d82782eb8e5dba5040d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 3c | 1,632$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 1,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,382$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 2c | 1,024$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 874.19$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 42c | 734.57$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.75 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 56c | 375.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 317.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 60c | 230.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 220.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 46c | 212.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 188.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 186.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 180.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 41c | 179.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 59c | 170.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Yes | 60c | 162.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…ee2fbacked No | 39c | 159$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…9372backed No | 39c | 159$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…3449backed No | 39c | 155$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 43c | 151.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 36c | 137.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 136.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 60c | 129.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 60c | 117.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 98.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 59c | 95.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 45c | 93.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 68c | 92.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 16c | 78.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 39c | 76.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846e…111bbacked Yes | 62c | 74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…8466backed Yes | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 60c | 70.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…ed9ebacked Yes | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…f926backed Yes | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Yes | 60c | 51.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 50.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 47.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 41c | 43.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 40c | 40.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 40.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…9ee5backed Yes | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…49a9backed Yes | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…f535backed Yes | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed No | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 45c | 31.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…2791backed Yes | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4240backed Yes | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0bbbbacked Yes | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…5a14backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 59c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked No | 44c | 23.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 75c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 57c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.