Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open (Doubles): Kirkov/Stevens vs Frantzen/Haase
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x400a013b3d34e5f75aff0fd4722ed5ccc68b842fef9eaadf8d558109a0fc8b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frantzen/Haaseof Kirkov/Stevens, Frantzen/Haase
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c19…688fbacked Kirkov/Stevens | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…603dbacked Kirkov/Stevens | 43c | 314$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kirkov/Stevens | 23c | 276.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…9f97backed Frantzen/Haase | 57c | 257$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…2ffebacked Frantzen/Haase | 57c | 247$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…9c64backed Frantzen/Haase | 57c | 237$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Frantzen/Haase | 69c | 229.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kirkov/Stevens | 48c | 170.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Frantzen/Haase | 61c | 146.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Frantzen/Haase | 48c | 125.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Kirkov/Stevens | 23c | 101.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 130 | 16.9%22 W · 108 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Kirkov/Stevens | 41c | 85.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Frantzen/Haase | 56c | 85.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Frantzen/Haase | 19c | 66.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kirkov/Stevens | 51c | 62.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Frantzen/Haase | 62c | 60.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…cf26backed Kirkov/Stevens | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Frantzen/Haase | 56c | 49.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Kirkov/Stevens | 39c | 48.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…3ce9backed Kirkov/Stevens | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Frantzen/Haase | 48c | 33.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kirkov/Stevens | 50c | 31.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…f481backed Frantzen/Haase | 57c | 30.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…5034backed Kirkov/Stevens | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Frantzen/Haase | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Frantzen/Haase | 54c | 24.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Frantzen/Haase | 58c | 23.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Kirkov/Stevens | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Frantzen/Haase | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Frantzen/Haase | 78c | 12.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.