Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d1dfdfe06601133c40d3ef8f525d5372e8511d9b15c0c9432a52bcbbc8cfd6b

Rebuilt 45 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $243,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $242,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,368 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4064…f741backed Over	47c	130,444$61,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,443.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	51c	29,805$15,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,059.63	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	49c	24,626$12,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,546.14	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	22,957$11,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,560.6	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	20,960$10,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,698.12	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under	52c	9,746$5,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,068	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	51c	7,806$4,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,013.09	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	53c	6,566$3,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,501.08	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	53c	6,400$3,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,392	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	54c	6,276$3,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,385.88	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Under	56c	6,233$3,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,467.27	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	53c	4,800$2,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,544	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under	51c	4,706$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under	54c	4,312$2,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,325.21	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	52c	3,965$2,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052.95	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over	52c	3,961$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.7	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1a…ebcebacked Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.99	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	53c	2,997$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.66	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	53c	2,800$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	2,766$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.62	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under	1c	2,622$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	53c	2,400$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under	54c	2,368$1,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.72	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	51c	1,922$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.08	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	39c	1,871$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.67	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	54c	1,840$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.6	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	29c	1,724$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c3…6603backed Under	14c	1,674$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	53c	1,600$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	53c	1,600$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	54c	1,537$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.24	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under	53c	1,505$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.56	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	44c	1,500$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	54c	1,228$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.1	446	55.4%247 W · 199 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	53c	1,226$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	52c	1,161$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.21	58	70.7%41 W · 17 L	+10.4wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Under	55c	1,150$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.5	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under	54c	1,065$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.97	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	53c	1,040$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.2	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	53c	1,040$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.2	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed Under	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed Under	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Under	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed Under	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under	52c	999.99$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc8…8255backed Under	54c	995.46$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+69.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	26c	945.45$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.15	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	54c	900$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	54c	900$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	53c	899.53$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.41	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under	50c	890$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	27c	737.82$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.78	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	53c	724.88$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.95	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	47c	721.94$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.51	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over	49c	714.29$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.29	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	53c	640$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.2	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under	51c	631.02$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.7	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	53c	624$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.72	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	53c	624$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.72	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	53c	560$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.8	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	45c	544.46$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.56	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over	43c	506.3$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.59	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	52c	505$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.6	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under	41c	488.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	53c	471$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	53c	471$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.63	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	52c	451$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.12	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under	15c	436$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.1	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	52c	403.75$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.95	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under	10c	383.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	14cpaid	+88.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under	54c	366.07$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.68	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	50c	348$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under	53c	320$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.6	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.27	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under	15c	291$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	17cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under	57c	281.32$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.35	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	20c	264.37$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.25	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	76c	262$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.99	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over	65c	256$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.6	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under	50c	237.63$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under	53c	226.42$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	51c	199.96$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.23	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	49c	199.95$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.98	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over	49c	198.38$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.17	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	22c	192.43$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.97	222	45.9%102 W · 120 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under	53c	192.3$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.92	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Under	10c	190$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5this page
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 0.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event