Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b738d5cd7424024c37e4398a15e3b00c5db9629f25bea4604341e5a9423eb8

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $55,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	66c	31,504$20,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,711.59	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	34c	6,400$2,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,176	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	34c	4,800$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	29c	4,450$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.49	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over	65c	4,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.83	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	71c	3,977$2,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,163.93	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	14c	3,582$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	34c	2,800$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	34c	2,400$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	34c	2,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	34c	1,600$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	34c	1,600$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	66c	1,500$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.09	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	32c	1,341$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.26	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	34c	1,200$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	34c	1,200$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	34c	1,040$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.6	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	34c	1,040$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.6	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	31c	999.94$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.98	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	34c	995$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.33	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	31c	900$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	31c	803.23$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over	71c	704.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.23	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	66c	686.12$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.28	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	71c	685.99$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.42	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	34c	640$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.6	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	34c	624$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.16	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	34c	624$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.16	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	71c	617.69$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.59	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under	32c	543.64$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.91	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under	34c	491.18$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	35c	488.6$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.61	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under	34c	448.24$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.4	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over	66c	445.2$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.37	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c09…dfb9backed Under	34c	414.23$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	34c	400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under	34c	400$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under	35c	330.89$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.81	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	34c	320$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.8	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	34c	320$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.8	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	34c	320$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.8	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over	65c	299.99$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under	34c	299.98$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.99	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	35c	289.89$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.4	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Under	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over	70c	283.73$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.73	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	29c	239$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.31	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Under	35c	219.42$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	35c	205$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.04	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	34c	197$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.98	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	33c	196.41$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	69c	193.34$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.02	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under	34c	180$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	34c	163.74$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.67	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under	34c	160$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	35c	154.72$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.04	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over	68c	153$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.71	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	67c	150.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.21	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	71c	140$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.6	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	33c	137.49$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.37	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under	34c	125$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	32c	124$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	34c	120$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	132	56.1%74 W · 58 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under	35c	112.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under	35c	102.62$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.82	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-6.2wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over	66c	87.6$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeec…707bbacked Under	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	71c	82.6$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under	34c	77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over	66c	69.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	32c	66$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	34c	65.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Under	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under	34c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	67c	59.48$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.63	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Under	34c	59.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under	29c	58.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-5.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29fb…4930backed Under	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d91…6816backed Under	35c	57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under	35c	56.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under	34c	55.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under	35c	53.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.74	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	34c	53.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over	67c	40$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	228	54.8%125 W · 103 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	154	54.5%84 W · 70 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over	71c	36.12$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	78c	35.02$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.69	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	65c	30.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.81	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over	71c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	65cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over	71c	27.76$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.05	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over	69c	24.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.75	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…36a2backed Over	70c	23$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	72c	18.6$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.21	446	55.4%247 W · 199 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	77c	15.75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.62	147	55.8%82 W · 65 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5this page
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 0.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event