MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e85fca3e67afc24233770757d999b3f333b26b37a5791970a61e26f2488958b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 39,539$19,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,769.28 | 772 | 53.9%416 W · 356 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 32,981$16,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,160.65 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 32,827$21,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,832.79 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 31,033$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 23,191$11,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,363.35 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 21,777$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.38 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 2,315 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,099 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 19,862$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 493 | 50.9%251 W · 242 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 14,931$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 14,605$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.77 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 12,576$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,157.38 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 11,039$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.78 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 9,935$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.1 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 8,988$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.93 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 8,953$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 7,960$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.22 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 7,700$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 6,706$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.17 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 6,131$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.82 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 5,368$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.03 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 4,775$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.45 | 2,200 | 40.2%884 W · 1,316 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 4,754$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.48 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 4,151$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,640$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.19 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 3,128$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.56 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,952$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.54 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 2,258$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.42 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 1,987$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.49 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,734$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.87 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,689$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 2,153 | 50.2%1,080 W · 1,073 L | +27.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 1,400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 663 | 50.2%333 W · 330 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 1,295$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.52 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 1,278$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,208$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,178$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.44 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Minnesota Twins | 18c | 1,127$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,123$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.76 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…b1bebacked Minnesota Twins | 15c | 1,088$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 1,069$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 1,050$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 1,534 | 59.5%912 W · 622 L | +83.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,016$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.59 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,002$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 988.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 882 | 53.7%474 W · 408 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 921.59$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.36 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 864.78$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.58 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 810$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 720 | 53.3%384 W · 336 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 782.74$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 709.81$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.91 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 693.05$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 803 | 55.7%447 W · 356 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 692.77$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.88 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 692.3$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 968 | 48.8%472 W · 496 L | -42.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Minnesota Twins | 14c | 685$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 683.88$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 646.73$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.79 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 617.65$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 615.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,019 | 44.7%455 W · 564 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 600.02$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.01 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 15c | 585.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 575.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 573.13$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.22 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 566.23$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 549$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 525.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 519.51$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.36 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 487 | 45.2%220 W · 267 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 368 | 29.6%109 W · 259 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 484$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…7f84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 475.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 475.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 467.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 460.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 430.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 421.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 420.66$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 411.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Minnesota Twins | 24c | 401.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 206 | 52.4%108 W · 98 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 384.49$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 380.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 379.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 376.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf175…12c7backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 359$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 346.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 1,745 | 49.1%857 W · 888 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 343.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 57.1%467 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.