Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0efa2a3424b48e15bdb056316467392c068e5119333b60995b8be9f5d722dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 34,210$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.91 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 39c | 12,717$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 11,146$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,136.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 6,808$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.37 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 4,904$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.17 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 59c | 4,568$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.79 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 39c | 2,998$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 38c | 2,433$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.05 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 2,420$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.22 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 1,761$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.06 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 75c | 1,574$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.42 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 62c | 1,572$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.07 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 25c | 1,486$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.47 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 1,384$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.15 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 47c | 1,184$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 1,148$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.18 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 17c | 1,147$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 914.44$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.59 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 886.34$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.49 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 61c | 860.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 59c | 847.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 656.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 644.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 59c | 618.55$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 59c | 592$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 34c | 591.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 63c | 580$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.94 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 561.25$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 22c | 544.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 62c | 543.84$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 38c | 499.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Over | 38c | 493.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 59c | 460$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 63c | 398.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 18c | 299.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 59c | 259.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 59c | 244$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 226.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 59c | 212.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 60c | 201.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 201$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 62c | 201$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 40c | 182.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 60c | 176.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 11c | 175.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 59c | 156$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 59c | 156$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 61c | 151.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 148.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 14c | 142.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 14c | 142.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 14c | 142.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 65c | 107.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 62c | 105.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 38c | 101.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 62c | 100.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…7484backed Over | 16c | 97.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 61c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 13c | 86.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 38c | 77.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 41c | 68.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 65c | 67.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 65c | 63.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf530…68edbacked Over | 22c | 63.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 61c | 50.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 59c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 40c | 37.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 34.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Under | 61c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.