Mls · resolved market
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9dfe48b0950cd000e1f8fe2a2cbb5a4780cc17b40f4b213b9345f412fbd50a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 12,707$6,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,688.89 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 9,524$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.38 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 49c | 8,964$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 4,798$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.59 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 3,473$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.14 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 3,213$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.38 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,806$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 61c | 2,719$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 52c | 2,094$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.05 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 40c | 1,984$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.66 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 1,978$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.93 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 1,882$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.51 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 59c | 1,824$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.42 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 1,808$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,800$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.84 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 53c | 1,195$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.94 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 73c | 1,098$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Under | 50c | 982.91$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 894.23$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.55 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 834.92$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.3 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 41c | 806.05$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 41c | 797.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.62 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 40c | 778$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.96 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 671.22$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.47 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 60c | 633.47$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 614$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 63c | 611.96$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.53 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 37c | 592$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 41c | 548.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 43c | 525$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 54c | 509.7$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 37c | 460$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 55c | 455$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 443.92$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 409.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 400.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 399.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 37c | 373.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…be8bbacked Over | 60c | 357.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 348.48$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 332.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 60c | 331.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 314.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 35c | 287.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 38c | 287.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 37c | 230$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 219.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 216$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 64c | 196.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 57c | 191.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 191.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked Under | 41c | 178.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 174.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 44c | 162.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 162$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 34c | 151$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 7c | 148.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 40c | 138.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 70c | 127.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 62c | 120.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 109.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 40c | 108.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 63c | 107.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 37c | 107.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 51c | 103.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed Over | 60c | 100.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Under | 48c | 93.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 91.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)Chicago Fire FC won
- Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-2.5)CF Montréal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.