TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes28c30,843$8,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,206.7415034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c14,204$10,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,179.542,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c14,050$10,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,077.4840357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes31c10,408$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,186.4756439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c5,815$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,013.491,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No12c5,749$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.1614951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c5,715$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,961.3819840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes1c5,555$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.451050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+987.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c5,539$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.611,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes19c4,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.34332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Yes3c4,300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+481.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c4,244$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.583,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No16c3,773$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes79c3,560$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.3360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1008160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes77c2,780$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.322859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c2,495$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.371,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No69c2,475$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.733946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No72c2,075$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes73c1,890$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1118956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c1,604$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.8114067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes32c1,582$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.446848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed No41c1,496$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.35556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No70c1,468$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.1548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes38c1,315$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.4412823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes23c1,136$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.3910022%22 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No41c1,080$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.8513744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c1,068$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.8647653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes31c1,057$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.029944.4%44 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No15c1,051$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.699736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed No43c940.3$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5673…4926backed No18c833$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked No42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No25c659.01$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6868050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No59c624$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2411736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed No70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No68c491.55$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2514146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c446.85$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4775051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No28c414.52$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes43c411.47$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5498833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c406.99$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes50c395.91$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9413658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes59c381$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.219946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No79c369.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6814067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes29c340.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.852733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b2…0945backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c328.76$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c319.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.244,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No72c297.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.298961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes30c262.45$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7223762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No31c230$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.326641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No24c221.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.059441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes27c221.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7519255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c202.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c201.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c198.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3382844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No72c196.92$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7832545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes20c194.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.715940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked No18c168.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-70.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes33c153.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.561428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No60c151$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1824048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No71c140.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes16c130.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.034942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ab…d3afbacked Yes13c110.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+696.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes21c109.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No71c106.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes27c105.87$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.823129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No69c105$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0545250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa112…b424backed Yes17c101.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+496.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes27c94.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.817927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5633244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed No78c86.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.492334.8%8 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Yes29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.211080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed No40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf5…e0d5backed No72c82.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed No42c81.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6545841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No70c79.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0723455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked No15c79.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2460%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.078254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.414856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e3…6761backed Yes17c65.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes25c65.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.987346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No69c61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0919646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.896764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No52c59.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6120253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No72c58.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.924571.1%32 W · 13 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.