La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf09a4ffddae1f9c13e21101ab83858a10c8ab1bfc3e988dd8ce00526c395c199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 58c | 9,305$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.14 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 7,706$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.77 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 14c | 6,332$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.36 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 56c | 5,933$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.66 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 5,554$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.61 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 58c | 4,015$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.35 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 57c | 3,638$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 3,609$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.13 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 40c | 3,581$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 3,021$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 77c | 2,932$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.93 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 2,789$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.13 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.97 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,275$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,025$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.67 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 43c | 1,915$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.85 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 80c | 1,826$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.61 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 40c | 1,692$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.15 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,653$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.3 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 1,521$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.29 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 71c | 1,318$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.64 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Yes | 3c | 1,314$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 1,185$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.29 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 60c | 1,160$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.34 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 59c | 1,120$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.67 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Yes | 45c | 1,087$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes | 42c | 1,010$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 1,003$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 872.64$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 846.03$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 820$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 55c | 734$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 40c | 645.48$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 38c | 587.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 39c | 526.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 55c | 514.57$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.56 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…181fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 13c | 485.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 60c | 484.71$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 46c | 480.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 462.73$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 24c | 453.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.27 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 439.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 14c | 420.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.9 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 44c | 400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 43c | 390.92$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 353.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Yes | 14c | 350.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 14c | 346.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 58c | 344.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 15c | 343.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 334.6$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Yes | 15c | 293.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 48c | 287$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 280.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 75c | 273.8$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 71c | 266.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 244.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 240.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…6403backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 228.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 19c | 225.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 41c | 222$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 40c | 207.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 66c | 203.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 38c | 197.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…9b7bbacked Yes | 28c | 197.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 64c | 193.13$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 189.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Yes | 16c | 187.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 49c | 164.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed No | 61c | 161.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 45c | 146.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 143.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 21c | 141.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 43c | 141.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 26c | 133.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 132.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 126$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 45c | 122.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Yes | 73c | 113$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 42c | 112.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 43c | 106.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed No | 61c | 104.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.