La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9103ff60545e1c0f7544bc91cd4191cf14f34882d2834a0416be3d7b8a9c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 28c | 50,664$14,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,186.04 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 72c | 29,362$21,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.78 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 32c | 10,872$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 7,812$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,251.37 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 6,262$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.44 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 5,531$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.5 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 5,013$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.7 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 4,777$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.48 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked No | 72c | 4,074$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 2,488$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.05 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,161$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 2,051$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.39 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 72c | 1,740$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 79c | 1,438$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,280$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.38 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 1,195$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.87 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 34c | 945.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.79 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 925.25$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.07 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 861.95$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.36 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 764.84$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 68c | 756.34$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.55 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 31c | 722.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.93 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 14c | 630.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 28c | 594.6$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 72c | 536.11$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 7c | 536.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 528.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 518.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 63c | 396.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 29c | 331.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 27c | 282.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 72c | 270.08$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…f86ebacked No | 73c | 252$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Yes | 15c | 221$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 70c | 212.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 72c | 208.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 73c | 198.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 196.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 26c | 193$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 183.64$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 72c | 174.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 34c | 155$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 145.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 15c | 142.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 140.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…f972backed No | 26c | 139.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 72c | 136.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…2f65backed Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 129.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 128.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 124.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 30c | 120.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed Yes | 50c | 107.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 102.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 29c | 101.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 68c | 91.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 87.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 17c | 84.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 57c | 83.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 24c | 82.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…af49backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5453backed No | 28c | 79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Yes | 26c | 76.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 26c | 60.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…5f97backed Yes | 29c | 58.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 58.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.