TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20a5…f86e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$180.11
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.9
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.44
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.36
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$29.91
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$110.05
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.84
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$106.74
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$6.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.05
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$76.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.71
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$12.42
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$5.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.65
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$47.58
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.3
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.86
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.73
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+140.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$196.48
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.