Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef8b0a303c77faceb4a7b5c5eb8a54088ca25a2fd554e8510c32adba90b1784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $784,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $925,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $784,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9ee…a621backed Team Liquid | 0c | 272,358$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 54c | 73,596$39,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,609.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 23,471$10,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,889.96 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 22,000$11,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,027.35 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed PARIVISION | 52c | 21,149$10,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.33 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.85 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 13,669$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.65 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 13,504$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.64 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 44c | 13,268$5,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.76 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 12,385$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.26 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 12,015$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.09 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 11,050$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.14 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 54c | 10,231$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.7 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 45c | 10,190$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION | 56c | 9,810$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.68 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4183…96bfbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 8,896$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 48c | 8,079$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.14 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 5,941$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.18 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 5,822$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.73 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 5,357$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.35 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.35 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 4,000$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.44 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 68c | 3,726$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.87 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 3,190$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.87 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Liquid | 45c | 3,100$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 3,063$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.84 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,850$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION | 67c | 2,750$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.48 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,677$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.26 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,525$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.8 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Liquid | 3c | 2,280$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,255$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.65 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,230$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.32 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 2,183$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,170$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.6 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,132$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…3301backed Team Liquid | 50c | 2,011$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 2,000$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.33 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.97 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,881$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.58 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,835$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,800$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,760$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.93 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,675$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.64 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 1,573$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.08 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,565$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.33 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,543$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.3 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,501$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.44 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,484$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,336$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,308$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,257$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.99 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,246$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.43 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,187$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.43 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,124$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.36 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 1,050$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Liquid | 48c | 980.96$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.86 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 51c | 912.39$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 888.19$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 887.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.46 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 859.6$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.61 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 850$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Team Liquid | 49c | 813.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 77c | 811.85$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 808.92$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.52 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 757.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed PARIVISION | 54c | 725.59$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.89 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 682.35$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Liquid | 27c | 650$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed PARIVISION | 51c | 629.42$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.24 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 627.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 623.81$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.81 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid | 39c | 615.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed PARIVISION | 53c | 607.84$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.68 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 50c | 601.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Team Liquid | 17c | 592.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 588.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Liquid | 47c | 581.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.01 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Team Liquid | 45c | 571.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION | 56c | 554$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.76 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 49c | 554$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.54 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 537.35$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 536.61$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.61 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.