TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,202,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,376,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,202,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION55c180,207$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,206.981,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Team Liquid44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.963525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid25c49,631$12,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,649.5845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…189dbacked Team Liquid36c41,977$14,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,911.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION54c39,239$21,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,110.4917948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid49c36,363$17,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,644.7728748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Liquid45c27,000$12,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,230.978847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid45c24,500$11,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,10433746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid45c22,610$10,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,279.1316147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION52c22,000$11,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,660.5780056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION51c18,538$9,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,059.7696357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked PARIVISION52c17,831$9,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,611.9910751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid49c16,203$7,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,921.771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION54c15,223$8,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.3528159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid43c14,440$6,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,241.9342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Liquid37c13,403$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid45c13,184$5,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,990.911547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid51c12,299$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2111,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid48c11,870$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7001,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION55c11,111$6,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,033.2815951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid44c10,861$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.548954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56a2…eba2backed Team Liquid46c10,841$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Team Liquid49c10,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9201118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid46c9,660$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.622644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION66c9,650$6,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.632,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION54c8,288$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800.7679159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION77c8,168$6,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.0325150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Team Liquid46c6,524$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.863644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid47c6,342$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.9531248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION53c6,247$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION57c6,181$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.1132951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2744…7e85backed Team Liquid49c6,129$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.222277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION73c6,016$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.2496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Liquid43c5,947$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,568.37152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked PARIVISION51c5,672$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.914951%25 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid48c5,288$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.7769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed PARIVISION52c5,155$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.4219242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1509839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid48c5,000$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.3129042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid47c4,922$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.7216746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Team Liquid43c4,882$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1051010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-82%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid47c4,636$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.0489341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b7…500fbacked PARIVISION54c4,500$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0702737%10 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION78c4,459$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.3286659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION65c4,396$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.891,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid49c4,389$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.9230336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid45c4,303$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.5662650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Team Liquid35c4,137$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.411145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Liquid45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80011346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid45c4,000$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked PARIVISION79c3,944$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid32c3,621$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.651140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked PARIVISION61c3,276$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.8959154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid47c3,271$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.9427143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Liquid45c3,250$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.9710646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid23c3,154$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6737632.2%121 W · 255 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION52c2,952$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.761256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Liquid37c2,888$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.7320740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION51c2,730$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.3312248.4%59 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid40c2,687$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.4358742.8%251 W · 336 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x898d…47b2backed Team Liquid1c2,571$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION53c2,549$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.7988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed PARIVISION60c2,525$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.749161.5%56 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked PARIVISION60c2,491$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.268048.8%39 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION60c2,485$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.177862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed PARIVISION77c2,464$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.89754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Team Liquid5c2,387$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.983545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION54c2,339$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.6323459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Liquid38c2,334$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.59444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…39cfbacked Team Liquid1c2,306$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked PARIVISION64c2,272$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.4922543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid46c2,266$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04222340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION67c2,160$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.979650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Liquid45c2,159$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid17c2,067$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.4450449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION57c2,021$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.9699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid34c1,954$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.451,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION51c1,932$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.7722842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION52c1,923$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.5613456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid27c1,877$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.3467932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION56c1,848$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.6920367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid33c1,836$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.441,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Liquid44c1,750$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.1717133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION57c1,739$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.9629160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid33c1,725$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.7945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed PARIVISION77c1,725$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.512842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Liquid2c1,699$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9444149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid29c1,646$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8113544.4%60 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Team Liquid50c1,572$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7837243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid43c1,548$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.5839343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION53c1,523$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.620156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Team Liquid8c1,500$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.16431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION51c1,500$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.4949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid49c1,491$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.9844645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Team Liquid33c1,479$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.488540%34 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION67c1,467$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9643049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed PARIVISION50c1,430$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71136343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid26c1,413$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.182,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION70c1,405$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3130356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked PARIVISION63c1,402$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.028447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.