Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3044f3fafa5be1e4664b9187b57adca9e4d19d829b43a4e273d3d32dce89f309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof PARIVISION, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $578,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 52c | 134,527$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 51c | 68,601$34,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,614.58 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 25,000$12,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.45 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed PARIVISION | 48c | 24,434$11,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,849.16 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 23,228$11,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,738.07 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 27c | 19,585$5,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,355.75 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 14,185$6,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,676.88 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid | 45c | 13,992$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,695.75 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 48c | 13,633$6,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,543.81 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 13,288$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,135.79 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 13,116$8,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,951.46 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 12,838$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.46 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 11,582$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560.9 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 44c | 10,778$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004.25 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 10,427$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.15 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Liquid | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 75c | 8,321$6,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.67 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 8,112$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,224.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION | 48c | 7,516$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.29 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 61c | 7,021$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.86 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 6,578$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 61c | 6,399$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.44 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,220$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.14 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 5,932$3,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.45 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 5,899$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.22 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Liquid | 43c | 5,600$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.99 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 51c | 5,379$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.75 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 51c | 5,300$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Liquid | 39c | 5,075$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.24 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 4,883$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.34 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 4,774$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.82 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,498$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.31 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 4,167$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.61 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 4,106$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.89 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 44c | 3,446$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.53 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 62c | 3,092$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.85 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Liquid | 28c | 3,045$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.16 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 64c | 3,041$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.37 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 34c | 3,001$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.05 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 69c | 3,000$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.42 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,829$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.37 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 2,768$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.58 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,591$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.18 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 2,580$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,505$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.11 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 2,343$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.56 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…a621backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,214$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,191$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.54 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 8c | 2,186$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.45 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…0d51backed PARIVISION | 2c | 2,153$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Team Liquid | 31c | 2,086$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.24 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,949$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.36 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 1,906$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed Team Liquid | 8c | 1,901$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 1,814$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.38 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,715$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Liquid | 34c | 1,708$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.28 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,667$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.95 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,655$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Liquid | 23c | 1,601$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,532$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.48 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,465$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,455$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.26 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 1,450$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.44 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…6b38backed Team Liquid | 28c | 1,395$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,382$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.33 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,322$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,240$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.19 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,176$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.42 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 1,170$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.16 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 1,097$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…d35abacked Team Liquid | 13c | 1,064$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed PARIVISION | 5c | 1,029$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,008$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.61 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed PARIVISION | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Liquid | 46c | 977.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.92 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Liquid | 50c | 939.61$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.9 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Liquid | 60c | 925.25$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.85 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 896.21$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.12 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 867.64$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Team Liquid | 45c | 860$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 849.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 61c | 835.78$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.52 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed PARIVISION | 26c | 818.33$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 800.51$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.69 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed PARIVISION | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…1b2ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 800$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION | 60c | 718.87$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 70c | 718.6$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 712.9$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.53 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.