TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe136…6d09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
343
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT19738.6%76 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$17.24
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.17
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.88
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$103.02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$65.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.24
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$40.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$7.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$61.24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT8542.4%36 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$71.01
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$60
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$32.02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$60.89
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$36.91
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$14.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.17
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.16
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.91
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT4134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+431.4%+$228.64
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$178.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77%+$76.19
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$51.38
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.99
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Alzon (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked Alzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs aimclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$88.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$208.21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.56
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.31
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+224.1%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$179.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+224.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$38.27
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.63
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$175.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$30.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.