Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a034cc4fc605e9400a397e0fb83dfc2f9e919cb73746598a38e9b60d5a6263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $675,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $738,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 59c | 89,919$52,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,853.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 48,617$31,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,279.1 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 61c | 44,214$26,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,831.14 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698d…00b0backed Team Spirit | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 39c | 26,333$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,063.11 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 38c | 24,932$9,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500.36 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 60c | 22,787$13,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,615.74 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 35c | 15,002$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,801.52 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 37c | 13,978$5,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,773.75 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 42c | 13,961$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.09 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 39c | 13,786$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,445.41 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 43c | 13,671$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.62 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 40c | 12,021$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,240.16 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 44c | 11,117$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.42 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 43c | 10,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000.05 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 10,500$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Aurora | 39c | 10,400$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 10c | 9,762$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 33c | 9,500$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 45c | 9,357$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.54 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 37c | 8,378$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.38 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 33c | 8,046$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.17 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora | 35c | 7,712$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.78 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 21c | 7,502$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.31 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 43c | 6,826$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.52 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 40c | 6,741$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.6 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Spirit | 61c | 5,023$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.69 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Team Spirit | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Team Spirit | 11c | 5,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.6 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 4,801$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.74 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Aurora | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.35 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora | 44c | 4,274$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.89 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 77c | 4,242$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.07 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Team Spirit | 65c | 3,995$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.05 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 21c | 3,973$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.72 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 60c | 3,957$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.08 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Team Spirit | 4c | 3,952$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 33c | 3,547$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.23 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 2,756$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 56c | 2,749$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.98 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Aurora | 40c | 2,678$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 52c | 2,532$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.84 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Spirit | 8c | 2,531$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Aurora | 77c | 2,435$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf14…502abacked Aurora | 33c | 2,400$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 34c | 2,300$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,279$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.55 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Spirit | 9c | 2,250$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…2d47backed Team Spirit | 9c | 2,149$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 57c | 2,145$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.62 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 37c | 2,010$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.76 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Aurora | 77c | 1,952$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Team Spirit | 15c | 1,948$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.77 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,900$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.89 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,880$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,770$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 68c | 1,753$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.42 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Spirit | 20c | 1,701$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.08 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,675$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.71 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora | 44c | 1,598$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Aurora | 39c | 1,574$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.04 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,503$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Aurora | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,500$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Aurora | 44c | 1,500$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.58 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.98 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 43c | 1,444$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.06 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 36c | 1,430$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.32 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Spirit | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,350$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.57 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 38c | 1,311$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.05 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 42c | 1,307$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.79 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,301$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 39c | 1,265$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.88 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Spirit | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,170$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.29 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 36c | 1,155$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.37 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Team Spirit | 10c | 1,143$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,135$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,133$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.33 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Team Spirit | 10c | 1,130$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,121$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Aurora | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.38 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,106$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.86 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 44c | 1,105$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.67 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.07 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Spirit | 9c | 1,029$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…ccefbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 979.06$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Spirit | 34c | 959.97$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.19 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Aurora | 40c | 942.08$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.25 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 64c | 915.41$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 41c | 881.56$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.78 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Spirit | 40c | 880$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.