Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd50ba0f898d9a535ed11e9189d1fab3cf27755f4ae53c3d8dbd28bffc077ae84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,799,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,951,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,799,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 887 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 60c | 126,444$76,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,444.32 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Team Spirit | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,999.94 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 34c | 87,554$29,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,907.97 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 43c | 86,442$36,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,821.19 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit | 65c | 70,293$45,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,774.5 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 59,305$34,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200.6 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Aurora | 37c | 53,348$19,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,738.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Aurora | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,499.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…b1d5backed Team Spirit | 69c | 48,654$33,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,086.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Aurora | 28c | 43,362$12,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,311.85 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 39c | 42,115$16,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,522.45 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora | 36c | 35,038$12,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,495.05 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Team Spirit | 65c | 31,274$20,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,946 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 41c | 29,018$11,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,849.61 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 25,900$16,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,582.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 58c | 25,644$14,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,770.33 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Aurora | 37c | 25,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 34c | 23,638$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.42 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 46c | 21,821$9,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,929.06 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 41c | 21,084$8,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,648.07 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora | 38c | 19,777$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.85 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Team Spirit | 64c | 18,559$11,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 49c | 18,177$8,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,827.87 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c5…8813backed Team Spirit | 50c | 17,976$8,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,032.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Aurora | 33c | 16,293$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.84 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 42c | 14,252$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.28 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 14,047$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 38c | 14,000$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.08 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…52e5backed Aurora | 34c | 13,922$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…fbf4backed Team Spirit | 69c | 11,523$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora | 22c | 11,084$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.4 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 52c | 10,630$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 31c | 10,607$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.07 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 47c | 10,563$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.76 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 10,191$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.75 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.76 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 9,366$5,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.61 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Aurora | 38c | 9,253$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Team Spirit | 39c | 8,825$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,364.19 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 41c | 8,731$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.93 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 8,640$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.2 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 35c | 8,593$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.75 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 43c | 8,450$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.24 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Spirit | 44c | 8,439$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.3 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 8,100$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora | 36c | 8,072$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.81 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 7,750$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 7,610$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.38 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 43c | 7,421$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 7,285$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.72 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 34c | 7,197$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.97 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 51c | 7,156$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,633.26 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 39c | 6,810$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.86 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed Aurora | 13c | 6,497$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 21c | 6,381$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.51 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 42c | 6,241$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.45 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Aurora | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Aurora | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 34c | 6,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.98 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 51c | 5,986$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.2 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 5,894$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.78 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 5,861$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.22 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 5,820$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.31 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Team Spirit | 63c | 5,673$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.23 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 5,400$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Aurora | 48c | 5,342$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Spirit | 62c | 5,186$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.82 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 35c | 5,099$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.8 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora | 14c | 5,016$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.89 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Spirit | 61c | 4,927$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.68 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 39c | 4,919$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 35c | 4,867$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.16 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Spirit | 62c | 4,719$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.22 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 4,709$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 17c | 4,651$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.47 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Aurora | 36c | 4,598$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.99 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 35c | 4,550$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.43 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked Team Spirit | 49c | 4,526$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Team Spirit | 61c | 4,494$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 37c | 4,457$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.86 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 37c | 4,425$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 4,367$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.72 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,984$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.2 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora | 38c | 3,959$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 44c | 3,869$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.82 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 36c | 3,544$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 45c | 3,452$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.83 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 66c | 3,412$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.12 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,396$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.51 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 46c | 3,311$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.97 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c32…82ccbacked Aurora | 35c | 3,122$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 34c | 3,107$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 3,101$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.25 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Aurora | 2c | 3,096$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Team Spirit | 57c | 3,081$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.28 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 43c | 3,050$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.71 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 35c | 2,981$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.35 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed Aurora | 37c | 2,872$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.