TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,335,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,789,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,335,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons55c367,673$202,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,783.5528748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed PARIVISION45c290,549$130,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,816.2716147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION49c115,392$56,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,516.141,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons52c50,991$26,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,395.3528159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed PARIVISION43c36,894$15,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,029.5722644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons58c32,453$18,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,732.9333746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION43c23,443$10,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,388.0415951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Team Falcons0c20,810$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.814148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons51c19,264$9,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,824.710751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons50c18,000$9,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,049.9936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons47c16,346$7,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,718.1631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION47c13,547$6,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.8571454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons57c13,535$7,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7151,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons50c13,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed PARIVISION48c11,987$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,186.261729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons57c10,519$5,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,992.1341056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed PARIVISION56c10,170$5,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.9910051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION61c9,984$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,880.2951049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION44c9,943$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.4539343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons33c8,967$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.6950347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons57c8,157$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.0996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons53c8,095$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,328.4413960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION44c7,326$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.8748954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked PARIVISION62c6,095$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.635960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons53c5,748$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.9156955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION46c5,747$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.5680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION45c5,681$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.391,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons52c5,607$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.1742145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION44c5,186$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.561,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons50c5,162$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,604.4130336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons54c4,972$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.81,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked PARIVISION43c4,678$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.339630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons49c4,549$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.5988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons54c4,500$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44036248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION42c4,390$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.371,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6313456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Falcons52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08010646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons51c3,866$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.112,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons52c3,826$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006354%34 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION55c3,698$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.5253764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed Team Falcons50c3,697$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.0215950.3%80 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons52c3,517$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.899850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION45c3,398$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.9516945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3322853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons31c3,211$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION50c3,059$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.359650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION48c2,987$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.1325150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed PARIVISION50c2,917$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.276374.6%47 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+26.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION48c2,830$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.625752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION55c2,707$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.3216954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION41c2,700$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.6677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons60c2,649$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.9722842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons51c2,604$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.1424251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x468c…d7cabacked PARIVISION52c2,568$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.913764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Team Falcons60c2,444$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.675930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION77c2,333$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.8330356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Team Falcons21c2,309$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.668851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION50c2,235$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.0779859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION44c2,218$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.3495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION44c2,217$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.3660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60e…3f04backed Team Falcons54c2,170$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.86660.6%40 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION45c2,129$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.4635758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked PARIVISION49c2,123$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.413157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf14…502abacked PARIVISION48c2,060$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.34728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked PARIVISION49c2,025$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.815240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION49c2,000$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.8855751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00051140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION77c2,000$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION45c1,960$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.3960552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION47c1,829$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.3268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Team Falcons62c1,602$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005952.5%31 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION70c1,583$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.667862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION46c1,524$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.9989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons54c1,519$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2613851.4%71 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed PARIVISION50c1,512$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7568150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION78c1,457$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.382,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION44c1,405$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.471,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed PARIVISION42c1,400$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.381758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION48c1,400$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons17c1,400$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23851544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION46c1,308$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.751,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION60c1,277$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.3219147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked PARIVISION41c1,275$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.4230155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Falcons56c1,265$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3935151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Team Falcons51c1,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.53943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION44c1,250$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.4958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked PARIVISION47c1,247$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2221144.1%93 W · 118 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons59c1,231$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.2940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons48c1,230$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.6535062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team Falcons50c1,222$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6119644.8%43 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons50c1,222$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61137945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Team Falcons52c1,150$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5982268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed PARIVISION44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.369754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION50c1,110$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.371,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION45c1,107$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0772035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION51c1,101$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.591,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.