Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a856e498b75c14efb74ef419e0b54ceace0e2b26bdab84e6f40665e2d9aa06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,321,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,779,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,321,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 332,787$181,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,062.42 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 46c | 267,558$122,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,557.25 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 50c | 113,169$56,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,892.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Team Falcons | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 52c | 40,286$21,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,248.1 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 45c | 38,917$17,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,232.71 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…1e42backed PARIVISION | 0c | 29,980$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 26,000$11,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,182.07 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed PARIVISION | 51c | 22,939$11,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,645.35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 22,392$10,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,901.76 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 21,818$12,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,256 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 34c | 18,802$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.82 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 18,510$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,069.6 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 15,575$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,784.8 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 48c | 13,489$6,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,482.25 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Falcons | 47c | 11,986$5,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363.21 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 11,750$6,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 11,049$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.32 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons | 50c | 10,010$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.79 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 9,117$6,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.17 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 9,031$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.76 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Team Falcons | 58c | 8,079$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.68 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 51c | 7,996$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.96 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION | 51c | 7,900$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 42c | 6,777$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.29 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 6,386$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.02 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 40c | 6,225$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 49c | 5,940$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 5,762$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.45 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 48c | 5,714$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.16 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 5,549$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.3 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 76c | 5,464$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.88 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 5,329$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.64 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 50c | 5,030$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.37 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 4,741$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.14 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 49c | 4,571$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.21 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 4,348$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.37 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 4,031$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.18 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 45c | 3,712$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.77 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 10c | 3,625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 56c | 3,589$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 40c | 3,249$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.43 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 3,124$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.06 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 74c | 3,014$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.98 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION | 30c | 2,962$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,750$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,749$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.11 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked PARIVISION | 24c | 2,682$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.81 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,591$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.02 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,487$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.72 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,120$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.78 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.01 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…5208backed PARIVISION | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 16c | 1,959$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.64 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 1,926$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 1,919$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.59 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,908$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…2a80backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,900$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,888$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.8 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,878$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.25 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,838$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.28 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION | 21c | 1,835$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.83 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,787$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.9 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked PARIVISION | 33c | 1,769$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.93 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,750$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 38c | 1,746$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.41 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 1,730$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.85 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 43c | 1,546$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 1,538$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.36 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,462$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,453$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,326$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.26 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,298$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,259$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,253$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.46 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Team Falcons | 67c | 1,250$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,196$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.72 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,121$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.19 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf14…502abacked PARIVISION | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Falcons | 49c | 971$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 961.6$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.39 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons | 51c | 960$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed PARIVISION | 15c | 947$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION | 53c | 936.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…33ddbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 923.8$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 921.41$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 842.67$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.62 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 48c | 839.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.82 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.