Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc94aefd1ebfd634629f82715d937c5d3d69e383e8d9d39d2cc0e07ffd63a4668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $671,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 69,013$34,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 51c | 40,378$20,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,785.36 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 47c | 34,250$16,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,159.58 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 33,116$16,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,135.41 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 27,473$13,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,029.05 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 47c | 26,800$12,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,306.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 50c | 25,218$12,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,707.27 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Aurora | 44c | 20,000$8,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,202.47 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 51c | 20,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 11,309$7,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,588 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 11,204$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.88 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 11,203$6,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,291.19 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 9,904$5,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 44c | 9,333$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.64 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 53c | 8,470$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.73 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 44c | 7,805$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.19 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 7,662$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.44 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 48c | 7,605$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.59 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,589$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.19 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 55c | 6,335$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.52 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 5,898$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.85 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 5,704$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f3d3backed Aurora | 46c | 5,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 5,428$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 5,165$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.63 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 46c | 5,132$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.96 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 5,114$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.71 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Aurora | 46c | 5,081$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.35 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 5,049$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.83 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 4,874$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.1 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 4,700$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.73 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 53c | 4,636$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.7 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Aurora | 45c | 4,413$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.37 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 42c | 4,310$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.69 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,160$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.49 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 51c | 4,101$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.11 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…7774backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 3,980$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 3,841$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.7 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora | 48c | 3,777$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.35 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 3,680$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 3,496$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.17 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,437$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.43 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 3,337$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.17 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 41c | 3,330$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.69 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,032$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.01 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Aurora | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,989$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.51 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,988$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 43c | 2,925$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.5 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 2,779$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.22 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 2,746$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.51 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 66c | 2,690$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.97 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora | 50c | 2,612$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.23 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Aurora | 42c | 2,550$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.47 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 32c | 2,480$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.79 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,478$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.12 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Aurora | 42c | 2,407$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 2,200$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 41c | 2,187$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.61 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 45c | 2,100$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 44c | 2,098$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.14 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,080$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.4 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Aurora | 30c | 2,039$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.03 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 53c | 1,995$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.51 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 42c | 1,750$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Aurora | 48c | 1,734$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.16 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,566$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,508$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.28 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Aurora | 40c | 1,456$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.74 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…33ddbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Tundra Esports | 2c | 1,424$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.63 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Aurora | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.8 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,321$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.3 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,275$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.56 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 43c | 1,273$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Aurora | 47c | 1,263$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.5 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 44c | 1,253$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.68 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,200$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,173$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 45c | 1,160$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 1,158$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Aurora | 60c | 1,147$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.74 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Aurora | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Aurora | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.09 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Aurora | 69c | 1,028$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.51 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…ba8bbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,006$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.74 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Aurora | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…e467backed Aurora | 39c | 999.88$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 968.95$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.24 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora | 51c | 943.03$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.49 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 40c | 896.45$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 862.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.