Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2ced5b0b1fe7be1f054c1bcdad755bd5ba282bcea3d115858155ad89cb6f436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 197,268$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 55c | 109,270$59,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,338.04 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 40,000$17,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,998.99 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 61c | 33,393$20,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.34 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 79c | 33,379$26,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,076.48 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 56c | 24,010$13,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,564.62 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 15,770$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150.11 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Aurora | 55c | 11,643$6,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.99 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…7774backed Aurora | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 9,931$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.47 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 76c | 9,500$7,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…6bc2backed Aurora | 59c | 9,126$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 8,745$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.51 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 8,708$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.5 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 59c | 7,210$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.14 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora | 55c | 6,900$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 6,837$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.26 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 6,605$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.24 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 70c | 5,958$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora | 60c | 5,441$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.72 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Aurora | 60c | 4,794$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Aurora | 76c | 4,778$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.6 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora | 55c | 4,631$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.16 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 61c | 4,282$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 72c | 3,788$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.04 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 68c | 3,589$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.73 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 65c | 3,459$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.93 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 3,434$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 72c | 3,152$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Aurora | 57c | 2,730$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,716$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.98 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 69c | 2,529$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.32 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,456$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.33 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Aurora | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 62c | 2,339$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.12 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,231$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.02 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 2,210$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.16 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…89a3backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 2,100$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 76c | 2,033$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.29 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,982$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,969$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.28 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,902$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,852$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.34 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,814$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Aurora | 64c | 1,722$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Aurora | 77c | 1,709$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.89 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…0619backed Aurora | 56c | 1,689$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Aurora | 54c | 1,661$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.07 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Aurora | 57c | 1,571$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.59 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 65c | 1,406$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Aurora | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Aurora | 70c | 1,212$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.61 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,145$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…15d7backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 55c | 1,110$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,102$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 1,100$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,044$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Aurora | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 56c | 980.49$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.41 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…ce8abacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 974.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 891.11$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 881.45$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.03 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 807.63$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 58c | 776.31$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.85 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Aurora | 60c | 756$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 703.3$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Aurora | 56c | 687.28$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 685.74$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Aurora | 54c | 675$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 648.37$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Aurora | 58c | 634.22$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.05 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Aurora | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 75c | 579.92$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 58c | 574.02$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Aurora | 75c | 557.03$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 554.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…e3f2backed Aurora | 75c | 550$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 512.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…6fc2backed Aurora | 59c | 503.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Aurora | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Aurora | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 485.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 471.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 471.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…5434backed Aurora | 55c | 466.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 465$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.35 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.