Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78033c1965ebf254fd9a079cff952ab97a58b5c63e41adfc7858cd2f553985e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4247…91c4backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 13,353$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760.72 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 79c | 12,730$10,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.38 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG | 64c | 10,232$6,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.46 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NRG | 65c | 5,125$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.16 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 17c | 5,000$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.68 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed FURIA Esports | 13c | 4,240$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.84 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed NRG | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 66c | 3,912$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.61 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked NRG | 65c | 3,809$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.27 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports | 15c | 3,750$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA Esports | 26c | 3,251$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.74 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 13c | 3,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.15 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed NRG | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed FURIA Esports | 34c | 1,548$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.22 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed NRG | 65c | 1,537$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.86 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 67c | 1,484$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.48 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG | 64c | 1,350$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 34c | 1,229$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.82 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports | 16c | 1,200$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 1,172$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 1,165$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.96 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 1,137$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.17 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed NRG | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA Esports | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 966$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 923.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed NRG | 66c | 922.8$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.93 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 896.35$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked FURIA Esports | 22c | 857$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 791.43$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.23 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed NRG | 65c | 747.21$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports | 3c | 733.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 609.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked NRG | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed NRG | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked FURIA Esports | 37c | 508.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…635cbacked NRG | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked FURIA Esports | 27c | 400.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…a6c6backed NRG | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports | 34c | 399.95$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports | 21c | 339$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked NRG | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked NRG | 65c | 304.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports | 25c | 225.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed FURIA Esports | 21c | 219.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 213.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed NRG | 65c | 203.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed FURIA Esports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 198.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed FURIA Esports | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked FURIA Esports | 11c | 182.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed NRG | 80c | 180$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG | 76c | 172.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed NRG | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed NRG | 67c | 168.66$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 166.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 135.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed FURIA Esports | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports | 36c | 120.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed FURIA Esports | 18c | 106.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked NRG | 79c | 104.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked FURIA Esports | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports | 15c | 101.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…8136backed NRG | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 62c | 98.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed NRG | 65c | 98.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked FURIA Esports | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 65c | 90.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…59c6backed NRG | 66c | 89.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed NRG | 64c | 84.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed NRG | 64c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 77.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed FURIA Esports | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 70.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked FURIA Esports | 36c | 67.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 65.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed NRG | 64c | 60.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…16cbbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked NRG | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed NRG | 65c | 52.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked NRG | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed NRG | 64c | 50.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked NRG | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed FURIA Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed FURIA Esports | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed NRG | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked FURIA Esports | 32c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed NRG | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.