TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4247…91c4backed FURIA Esports36c13,353$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.726040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG79c12,730$10,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.3852155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG64c10,232$6,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.4628955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked FURIA Esports35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked NRG65c5,125$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.165358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports17c5,000$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.6865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed FURIA Esports13c4,240$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.848444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed NRG65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG66c3,912$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.611,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NRG65c3,809$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.2715850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports15c3,750$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA Esports26c3,251$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.7446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports13c3,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.1568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9926050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked FURIA Esports5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.581233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed NRG65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed FURIA Esports34c1,548$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2233348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed NRG65c1,537$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.8611255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG67c1,484$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.481,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG64c1,350$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports34c1,229$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA Esports16c1,200$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.360154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports6c1,172$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0756357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports33c1,165$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9625336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed FURIA Esports36c1,137$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.177934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed NRG65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3509443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA Esports34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports5c966$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.31,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed FURIA Esports36c923.99$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5215553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc352…a152backed NRG66c922.8$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.934663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FURIA Esports35c896.35$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7244342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked FURIA Esports22c857$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.832236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FURIA Esports35c791.43$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2324846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed NRG65c747.21$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.67445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports3c733.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked FURIA Esports35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports5c609.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.771,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked NRG66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.066931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed NRG65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked FURIA Esports37c508.39$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.79148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked NRG66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706045%27 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked FURIA Esports27c400.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.013423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2fd…a6c6backed NRG63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports34c399.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked FURIA Esports35c350$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports21c339$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1929151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked NRG65c307.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7714452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked NRG65c304.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.623281.3%26 W · 6 L+8.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked FURIA Esports5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked FURIA Esports35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805052%26 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports25c225.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed FURIA Esports21c219.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.716045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed FURIA Esports12c213.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed NRG65c203.54$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.541560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed FURIA Esports20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed FURIA Esports36c198.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4828241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed FURIA Esports17c194.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked FURIA Esports11c182.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7230835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed NRG80c180$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed NRG76c172.12$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8524250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed NRG65c169.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed NRG67c168.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6610655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA Esports12c166.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1232462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA Esports35c135.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.663652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed FURIA Esports15c125$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports36c120.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed FURIA Esports18c106.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8715931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked NRG79c104.61$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.232965.5%19 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked FURIA Esports24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports15c101.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda7…8136backed NRG79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA Esports35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NRG62c98.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…37b0backed NRG65c98.58$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked FURIA Esports16c94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.269238%35 W · 57 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NRG65c90.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5343059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7f…59c6backed NRG66c89.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.511850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed NRG64c84.61$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.462128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed NRG64c79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.374562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed FURIA Esports35c77.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1841537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed FURIA Esports34c73.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed FURIA Esports36c70.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4627956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked FURIA Esports36c67.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.327047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA Esports36c65.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed NRG64c60.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.624062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1040…16cbbacked FURIA Esports35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed FURIA Esports36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed FURIA Esports36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked NRG64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6912261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed NRG65c52.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.524156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked NRG66c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.526558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed NRG64c50.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3227145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked NRG64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1812239.3%48 W · 74 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed FURIA Esports21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.518948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked FURIA Esports35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.518651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed FURIA Esports23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514047.9%67 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed NRG64c42.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1912350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked FURIA Esports32c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.624533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93be…af87backed NRG65c41.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.548254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.