Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39f6493e60435fbc06b0a28eb64a1e9e5243d74da5243734f821a862ea968b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof FURIA Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports | 28c | 6,304$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.95 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 58c | 3,029$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.16 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 59c | 2,918$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.96 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 57c | 2,883$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.29 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 2,418$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.62 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 1,968$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.06 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed FURIA Esports | 26c | 1,729$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.88 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 58c | 1,420$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.67 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG | 59c | 1,277$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.58 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked NRG | 59c | 1,257$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 956$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 68c | 847.83$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 774.19$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.18 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports | 44c | 766$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG | 58c | 747$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed NRG | 68c | 706.97$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.58 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 650.26$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.14 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed FURIA Esports | 38c | 633.11$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NRG | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed NRG | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 495$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked NRG | 62c | 467.88$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 38c | 460.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed FURIA Esports | 22c | 450$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 74c | 396.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed NRG | 57c | 322.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked NRG | 62c | 306.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports | 27c | 286$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked NRG | 74c | 269.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed NRG | 61c | 266.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked FURIA Esports | 38c | 265.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed NRG | 59c | 261.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports | 17c | 259$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed NRG | 66c | 211.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 58c | 191.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed NRG | 53c | 188.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked NRG | 57c | 165.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 163.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…622cbacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 155.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked FURIA Esports | 34c | 134.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked FURIA Esports | 25c | 133.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed FURIA Esports | 30c | 131.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 108.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed NRG | 62c | 108.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…ed76backed FURIA Esports | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked FURIA Esports | 24c | 93.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked NRG | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked FURIA Esports | 37c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…8136backed NRG | 69c | 88.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports | 28c | 75.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FURIA Esports | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c2…be71backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 74.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked NRG | 42c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked NRG | 78c | 67.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 39c | 66.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 65.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NRG | 55c | 59.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked NRG | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed FURIA Esports | 31c | 53.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed NRG | 66c | 48.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG | 44c | 47.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed NRG | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…0e4bbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 42.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked NRG | 60c | 41.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked FURIA Esports | 38c | 27.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked NRG | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed NRG | 61c | 19.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed NRG | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…1efebacked NRG | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.