TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52c8…6e5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$759.79
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs GIANTX GC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+54%+$116.03
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$171
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Barça eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+82%+$81.98
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$42.87
Valorant: 9z Team vs Leviatán Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.26
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.91
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$150.08
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$124.58
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.51
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$30.74
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.96
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.03
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+209.5%+$209.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$145.26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$10.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35%+$87.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.