TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels76c15,562$11,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.7152155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Evil Geniuses35c12,928$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.7313651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Sentinels65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Evil Geniuses26c3,850$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.9241537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses25c3,750$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Evil Geniuses35c1,796$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4623151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Sentinels59c1,585$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.0914938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed Evil Geniuses35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses38c1,040$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8936138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Sentinels63c998.8$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.441835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Sentinels56c974.1$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.6110238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed Evil Geniuses16c973.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Sentinels64c948.1$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.133346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Evil Geniuses46c824.66$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2645250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Sentinels46c801.67$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.7142540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Sentinels68c790.97$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.985658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Sentinels67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.274353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels77c710.36$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Evil Geniuses29c625.89$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1712750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Sentinels35c600.16$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Evil Geniuses35c550$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.57445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Evil Geniuses35c546$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.525349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Evil Geniuses36c529.5$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7128541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e5…8ce3backed Sentinels47c514.52$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.524341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Sentinels65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Evil Geniuses32c473.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310552.4%55 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses47c421.67$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.11,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8442…9df5backed Sentinels79c392.58$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.784065%26 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Sentinels49c388.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.851560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Sentinels61c352.95$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.658347%39 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…6e5fbacked Sentinels65c330.73$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.032850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Sentinels65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10519656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Sentinels34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1210225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Evil Geniuses55c290.31$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0628541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf763…8d83backed Evil Geniuses34c280$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Evil Geniuses38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Evil Geniuses40c252.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked Evil Geniuses19c221.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Sentinels61c218.04$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.043253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7f…e1edbacked Sentinels72c217.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.032751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d1…b0dabacked Evil Geniuses28c215.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0083…80fdbacked Evil Geniuses15c213.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sentinels62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1827145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Sentinels63c199.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.991747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed Evil Geniuses40c193.38$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772025%5 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd558…a218backed Evil Geniuses10c187$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels57c186.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.871,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Sentinels68c179.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.942227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Evil Geniuses32c174.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4123733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd20…24dabacked Evil Geniuses35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605523.6%13 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Evil Geniuses26c170.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3510743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Sentinels65c161.89$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6633942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Evil Geniuses43c158.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8963652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels58c155.31$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9144342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels55c154.27$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5230652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Sentinels66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5262856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Sentinels61c150.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3914032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Sentinels63c149.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.884738.3%18 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses24c145$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Sentinels61c136.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0621136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed Evil Geniuses35c130.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.699952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Sentinels60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5225245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels62c125$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sentinels64c112.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.667143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Sentinels66c110.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5418647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Sentinels68c110$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.243059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sentinels63c109.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.528053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Evil Geniuses38c108.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.322832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses16c105.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8013…ca53backed Evil Geniuses39c103.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5874…f58fbacked Evil Geniuses35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels42c94.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7442840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed Sentinels56c94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113158%76 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Evil Geniuses36c88.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6415842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Sentinels66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.331546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fec…7d1cbacked Sentinels33c81.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7107…7a54backed Sentinels66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.763863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Evil Geniuses35c71.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1418948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked Sentinels68c67.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3715160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Sentinels53c62.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3719945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…c31cbacked Sentinels64c60.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Sentinels80c60.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Sentinels66c59.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.526046.7%28 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf48e…8fa3backed Sentinels66c57.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Evil Geniuses37c56.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2118056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Evil Geniuses37c54.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Evil Geniuses35c51.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Sentinels73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.510664.2%68 W · 38 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…4cbbbacked Sentinels64c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked Evil Geniuses23c45.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Sentinels63c44.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Evil Geniuses68c44.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8125…080dbacked Sentinels63c43.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Sentinels72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6710975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Evil Geniuses30c41.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Sentinels64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Sentinels31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Sentinels33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.