Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14e635913c31fff419348f5b61d261668e5f7f23bccbb587049d383f67e288e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 76c | 15,562$11,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.71 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 12,928$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.73 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Sentinels | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.98 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Evil Geniuses | 26c | 3,850$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.92 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses | 25c | 3,750$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 1,796$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.46 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Sentinels | 59c | 1,585$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.09 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 38c | 1,040$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.89 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sentinels | 63c | 998.8$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sentinels | 56c | 974.1$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.61 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Evil Geniuses | 16c | 973.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Sentinels | 64c | 948.1$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.1 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 824.66$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.26 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sentinels | 46c | 801.67$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Sentinels | 68c | 790.97$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Sentinels | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 77c | 710.36$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Evil Geniuses | 29c | 625.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Sentinels | 35c | 600.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 546$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Evil Geniuses | 36c | 529.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed Sentinels | 47c | 514.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Sentinels | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Evil Geniuses | 32c | 473.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Evil Geniuses | 47c | 421.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed Sentinels | 79c | 392.58$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Sentinels | 49c | 388.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Sentinels | 61c | 352.95$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked Sentinels | 65c | 330.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Sentinels | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Sentinels | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Evil Geniuses | 55c | 290.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Evil Geniuses | 34c | 280$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Evil Geniuses | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 252.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…571ebacked Evil Geniuses | 19c | 221.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Sentinels | 61c | 218.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…e1edbacked Sentinels | 72c | 217.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…b0dabacked Evil Geniuses | 28c | 215.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Evil Geniuses | 15c | 213.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sentinels | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Sentinels | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Evil Geniuses | 40c | 193.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…a218backed Evil Geniuses | 10c | 187$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 57c | 186.36$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Sentinels | 68c | 179.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Evil Geniuses | 32c | 174.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…24dabacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Evil Geniuses | 26c | 170.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sentinels | 65c | 161.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Evil Geniuses | 43c | 158.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 58c | 155.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels | 55c | 154.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Sentinels | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Sentinels | 61c | 150.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Sentinels | 63c | 149.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Evil Geniuses | 24c | 145$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sentinels | 61c | 136.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 130.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Sentinels | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sentinels | 64c | 112.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Sentinels | 66c | 110.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Sentinels | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Sentinels | 63c | 109.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Evil Geniuses | 38c | 108.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses | 16c | 105.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed Evil Geniuses | 39c | 103.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…f58fbacked Evil Geniuses | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels | 42c | 94.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Sentinels | 56c | 94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Evil Geniuses | 36c | 88.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Sentinels | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…7d1cbacked Sentinels | 33c | 81.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7107…7a54backed Sentinels | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 71.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Sentinels | 68c | 67.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Sentinels | 53c | 62.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked Sentinels | 64c | 60.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Sentinels | 80c | 60.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Sentinels | 66c | 59.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…8fa3backed Sentinels | 66c | 57.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 54.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Sentinels | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…4cbbbacked Sentinels | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Evil Geniuses | 23c | 45.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Sentinels | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Evil Geniuses | 68c | 44.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8125…080dbacked Sentinels | 63c | 43.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Sentinels | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Evil Geniuses | 30c | 41.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sentinels | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Sentinels | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Sentinels | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1this page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.