Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e38aad0a34739139af4b89722d227fc32abd1c027f1a541ac6c2ca00a83275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Evil Geniuses, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Evil Geniuses | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sentinels | 54c | 1,032$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.05 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Evil Geniuses | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Evil Geniuses | 33c | 667.05$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.19 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sentinels | 53c | 441.23$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Sentinels | 62c | 276.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Evil Geniuses | 35c | 251.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Evil Geniuses | 45c | 244.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Sentinels | 54c | 186.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Evil Geniuses | 36c | 183.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 59c | 168.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked Evil Geniuses | 52c | 160.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…4cb0backed Sentinels | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels | 55c | 90.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sentinels | 68c | 80.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Evil Geniuses | 37c | 78.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Evil Geniuses | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Sentinels | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Evil Geniuses | 52c | 57.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Evil Geniuses | 41c | 45.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses | 38c | 43.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Sentinels | 48c | 23.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1Sentinels won
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.