Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c3424dc439cc19dc244517d1e0b89bb88e582adfe84101668dca4fc2990474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof Leviatán Esports, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 33c | 7,167$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.44 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sentinels | 33c | 4,550$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.64 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Sentinels | 39c | 4,538$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.86 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Leviatán Esports | 66c | 3,049$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.96 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Leviatán Esports | 71c | 597.24$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 34c | 574.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.41 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 35c | 532.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sentinels | 20c | 240.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Sentinels | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Leviatán Esports | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Leviatán Esports | 75c | 157.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Sentinels | 14c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 37c | 100.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sentinels | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Sentinels | 12c | 99.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sentinels | 35c | 83.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked Sentinels | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leviatán Esports | 68c | 73.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sentinels | 43c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 66.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Leviatán Esports | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leviatán Esports | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sentinels | 35c | 48.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 46.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Sentinels | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leviatán Esports | 61c | 17.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Leviatán Esports | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.