Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cfe45a72b4a70c6a164f10f64b572e7dd45bedbc4ef3c7f2a23f5ddf7be1b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Leviatán Esports, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Sentinels | 60c | 2,577$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.1 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Sentinels | 60c | 1,512$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.4 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatán Esports | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 1,156$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.4 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 420$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Sentinels | 73c | 313.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Leviatán Esports | 35c | 277.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Leviatán Esports | 32c | 232.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatán Esports | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Leviatán Esports | 32c | 198.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Sentinels | 80c | 163.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 68c | 128.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 101.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports | 40c | 94.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sentinels | 69c | 72.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sentinels | 67c | 55.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Leviatán Esports | 26c | 52.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sentinels | 68c | 42.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sentinels | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Leviatán Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Leviatán Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2Leviatán Esports won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.