TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.G Esportsof VARREL, Gen.G Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48b8…4b69backed VARREL33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49511255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Gen.G Esports65c1,479$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.018966.3%59 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Gen.G Esports65c1,420$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6142540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Gen.G Esports66c1,151$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.378934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed VARREL36c999.98$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed VARREL32c999.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed VARREL35c993.41$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2245250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked VARREL36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25229733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked VARREL35c700$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24386747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Gen.G Esports67c692.64$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.576048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed VARREL35c550$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed VARREL34c543.4$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.786732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed VARREL35c517.47$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1733942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Gen.G Esports68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Gen.G Esports67c499.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9924457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked VARREL11c471.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Gen.G Esports65c449.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3328747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked VARREL32c447.59$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Gen.G Esports64c431.25$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2515843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed VARREL35c393$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.559037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Gen.G Esports66c361.88$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12419337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Gen.G Esports67c348.32$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5796245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Gen.G Esports68c347.33$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.691668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Gen.G Esports67c343.31$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked VARREL31c311.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Gen.G Esports68c309.34$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.343281.3%26 W · 6 L+8.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xffd8…1faabacked Gen.G Esports63c293.79$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Gen.G Esports69c287.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.151353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed VARREL33c278.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.862846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Gen.G Esports67c275.15$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.818647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed VARREL34c218.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7341537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Gen.G Esports66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed VARREL32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Gen.G Esports66c182.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0827947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gen.G Esports63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7310460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked VARREL36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed Gen.G Esports64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+484.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed VARREL33c140.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gen.G Esports66c122.92$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.791,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed VARREL22c113.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.966045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Gen.G Esports64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.628541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Gen.G Esports65c106$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5818444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Gen.G Esports67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4830652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed VARREL34c101$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5927145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed VARREL35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512157%69 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Gen.G Esports69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3143059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed VARREL33c90.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.814953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed VARREL36c87.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked VARREL33c87.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed VARREL40c85.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Gen.G Esports78c80.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.724751.8%128 W · 119 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked VARREL38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910552.4%55 W · 50 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed VARREL22c76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.725831%18 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed VARREL36c75.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Gen.G Esports67c74.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.711564.3%74 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked VARREL34c70$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.833753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52c8…6e5fbacked Gen.G Esports65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed Gen.G Esports68c68.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.036250%31 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28f7…3407backed Gen.G Esports72c67.52$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Gen.G Esports64c65.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.398043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Gen.G Esports78c58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7699846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked VARREL36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked VARREL33c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.518651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10c…fc7cbacked Gen.G Esports66c48.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Gen.G Esports67c44.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Gen.G Esports66c42.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4218261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a35…9902backed Gen.G Esports68c35.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Gen.G Esports66c34.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eda…fb8ebacked VARREL35c33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6799…9cc2backed VARREL33c32.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed VARREL34c31.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.716344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed VARREL37c29.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0932261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed VARREL37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3643843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Gen.G Esports67c22.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Gen.G Esports66c21.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3341835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Gen.G Esports66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Gen.G Esports67c15.15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.